2014 domestic plastics industry situation analysis
Currently subject to long-term national economic system and the overall level of science and technology influence. Despite the high-tech industry in China sustained rapid development in recent years, the total output value of industry of new and high technology in the manufacturing industry accounted for more than 16%, but the traditional industry is still the Chinese manufacturing industry and composition of main backbone. Under the impact of the financial crisis, the traditional industries such as petroleum, mining industry, iron and steel have been impacted greatly by the lag of the high and new technology industries. Plastic industry as a typical high degree of marketization, raw materials and import and export influence of traditional industries, in the financial crisis has been a greater impact. Since 2008, due to the excessive development of the financial crisis led to domestic and external demand decline, and in recent years China plastics industry, causing part of the market in China's plastics industry has been shrinking, a substantial decline in exports, many enterprises start production, limited production and cut-off or closed. In the first half of 2009 China's total exports of 3 million 71 thousand tons of plastic products, compared with the same period in 2008 decreased by 12.7%. In February this year, exports fell to the lowest point in recent months, only 312 thousand tons. With PVC as the representative of some areas of the average operating rate of only about 50%.
Plastic products are important to the national economy and the people's livelihood, the production of information and consumer information. After the outbreak of the financial crisis, in "to maintain growth, expand domestic demand, adjust the structure of the guidelines, the State Council promulgated the stimulus package, including 4 trillion of investment, home appliances to the countryside, eleven industry restructuring and revitalization of the planning and the implementation rules promulgated etc.. Because the plastic industry is "to meet the domestic demand type, export oriented type, the pillar of employment, services," the industry, and therefore benefit a lot.
2009, the state promulgated the two major industries (light industry, petrochemical industry) and the revitalization of the plastic industry, the adjustment and revitalization of the planning, the implementation of a number of good policies, a strong boost to the confidence of the recovery of the plastic industry. At the same time, this year the comprehensive implementation of the value-added tax transformation, to a large extent eased the pressure on enterprises, is conducive to the transformation of plastic processing enterprises to upgrade the product, to promote the optimization and upgrading of the entire industry. In addition, countries since November 2008 3 times improve partial plastic products, the export tax rebate rate, 6 months of this year from the export tax rebate has reached the level of 13%, effectively alleviate the plastic industrial products export difficulties, improve the competitiveness in the international market.
Under the influence of a series of policy adjustment favorable, the production and sale of plastic industry in China has been stabilized, basically out of the doldrums. But in the current market environment, the development of China's plastics industry is still facing many challenges: one is the upstream raw material prices a fluctuation and operation cost growth resulting in a decline in the overall industry profit; the second is the lack of ability of technology and product innovation, and "low, small, scattered," structural problems, there is an urgent requirement of the plastics industry, industrial upgrading and structural adjustment; the third is abroad market atrophy and imported products low sales (especially since the beginning of next year, the Middle East petrochemical products will enter China), intensified competition in the domestic market; and so on.
Challenges and opportunities coexist. As the importance of plastics industry in the national economy will continue to be recognized. At the same time, in order to deal with the future development will face major challenges, in the foreseeable future, China's plastics industry will appear three macro trends:
1, the upper reaches of the industry chain: high value-added, high-tech materials to become the focus of development, modified plastics will gradually meet the domestic demand
Despite the rapid growth of domestic synthetic resin production in recent years, China's foreign dependence of synthetic resin is still as high as 40%, especially in the case of special materials, high-grade materials rely on imports more serious. And the synthetic resin production equipment of our country is mostly dependent on foreign technology, engineering plastics production technology development ability is also very weak. Is expected in 2009 the annual China synthetic resin production and demand gap will reach 12 million tons, which will promote domestic synthetic resin production capacity expansion, especially additional high value, high technology content of the special material, high-grade materials will have a rapid development.
The development prospect of the modified plastics in our country is very broad. Modified PP, PVC in many areas has been successfully replaced the engineering plastics, blending and alloying will also in the downstream industry (home appliances, it electronics, automotive, home building materials, machinery, aerospace, etc.) to continuously improve the plastic performance requirement have been rapidly developed. The next 5-10 years, the domestic demand for modified plastics will grow at around 10-20%. In the country to encourage the development of preferential policies to support the development of the plastic industry will enter the leading rise, production capacity integration, rapid development stage of technological upgrading.
2, the application of the market: plastic new products continue to emerge, the application of the breadth and depth of continuous development
With the use of the scope of plastic products is increasingly broad, the market demand for plastic products will show a continued steady growth momentum, especially in building plastic products, plastic packaging products, agricultural plastic products, industrial and traffic engineering plastic products. And in the new materials, new technologies, new technologies, new products continue to promote the emergence of new products, the breadth and depth of the application of plastic products continue to expand.
A case study of the application of plastic products to the rapid growth and expansion in the automotive industry. At present, the automobile plastic is the 8-10% of the total consumption of plastic, and it is one of the most important and the most potential application market of plastic products. The average amount of plastics used in industrial developed countries rose from 100-130kg in 90s to 152kg in 2004 and 174kg in 2006, and is expected to average plastic in developed countries in 2020.